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How to find out about the attitude of Russian citizens to the war without asking about the war?
You have all seen sociological polls, which show that the vast majority of Russians fully support Putin’s aggression against Ukraine. And we have talked many times about why these numbers cannot be guided: people are simply very intimidated, refuse to talk to pollsters, or do not tell them the truth.
On these it is impossible, and on what it is possible? How can one learn something about the mood of Russians by sociological methods, if one cannot directly ask about the war in any case? The sociological service of the FBK devoted another survey to purely economic issues, but through the prism of answers to these questions, much becomes clear. Let’s take a look together.
In Ukraine, since 2014, an additional “military levy” has been in effect – an addition of 1.5% to income tax, which is directed to the modernization of the Armed Forces of Ukraine. (The results of modernization are obvious, the Armed Forces of Ukraine in 2022 and 2014 are heaven and earth).
In our question, we are not suggesting that Russians pay an additional tax; we do not offer to give your money. No, the question is just where to send some “additional budget revenues.” And what do we see?
24 hours a day, 7 days a week, propaganda on TV says: the whole world is opposed to us, Russia is waging a holy war with the entire huge NATO bloc, which threatens to unbend all the bonds of the great Russian civilization.
Putin’s propagandists call what is happening the Third World War, in which Russia is opposed by the whole world. But are Russians “buying” this rhetoric? Obviously not: only 7% of those polled believe that the extra money should be spent on the war.
And it is clear why this happens. The point is horrendous poverty, which is the main result of 22 years of Putin’s rule. The numbers speak for themselves:
Half of our fellow citizens have no savings at all. At all. And only 18% – less than a fifth – have a financial cushion sufficient to calmly survive, for example, the loss of a job or other source of income. And this risk is very real:
Nearly a quarter of those surveyed had someone close to them lose their job in the last three months since the start of the war. It is clear that this does not add confidence in the future.
This makes you abandon plans and change the current, already very modest lifestyle:
Almost a third of those surveyed have already abandoned large purchases because of the war. And it’s not to say that even before the war, the Russians could afford them:
80% of Russian families do not plan a single major purchase in a year. It’s called: NO-SHET-TA. This is the main word that defines Russia in 2022, and which also characterizes the true attitude of Russians to the war. They don’t want this war. They need to live better.
But they are well aware that because of Putin’s war, they will only get worse and worse:
The dynamics of pessimism in the expectations of ordinary people is quite impressive. In just a month, the number of those who do not expect anything good from Russia’s economic prospects under sanctions has increased by almost 10 percentage points. And it will get worse.
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